Samuel vs. Sakellaridis: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Probability
78¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+27.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$893.32
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 11, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Up 28pp over 24h
Now 78¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $893 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability drops back below 73¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 11, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 155.1h
Price movement
+27.5pp over the last 24h, now 78¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
14- 50¢-6.5
Francavilla: Toby Samuel vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
Other · Vol $3.3K
- 51¢-1.0
Set 1 Winner: Samuel vs Sakellaridis
Other · Vol $0.00
- 40¢-17.0
Toby Samuel vs. Stefanos Sakellaridis: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 57¢+7.0
Samuel vs. Sakellaridis: Match O/U 21.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 53¢+2.5
Samuel vs. Sakellaridis: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 49¢-1.0
Samuel vs. Sakellaridis: Match O/U 22.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 28¢-22.5
Samuel vs. Sakellaridis: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 43¢-7.0
Samuel vs. Sakellaridis: Match O/U 23.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+0.1
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $7.0M
- 100¢+0.1
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Other · Vol $4.6M
- 100¢0.0
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Pierluigi Basile
Other · Vol $614.0K
- 0¢0.0
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria
Other · Vol $384.0K
- 100¢0.0
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Taylor Townsend vs Rebecca Sramkova
Other · Vol $349.3K
- 2¢-31.6
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-04?
Other · Vol $332.6K
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Toby Samuel and Stefanos Sakellaridis in the Francavilla, originally scheduled for May 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.