Set 1 Winner: Travaglia vs Jong

• 01
  Price move

  Up 9pp over 24h

  Now 75¢; -15.0pp in the last hour.

• 02
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Expires in 163h with open resolution ambiguity.

• 03
  Spread cost

  Wide spread — 49.9¢

  Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

• 04
  UMA status

  UMA status: proposed

  An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

This market refers to the tennis match between Stefano Travaglia and Jesper de Jong in the Cagliari, originally scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Travaglia” if Stefano Travaglia wins the first set. It will resolve to “Jong” if Jesper de Jong wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.