UnclassifiedExpires Apr 20, 2026

Zhou vs. Kotov: Match O/U 22.5

Probability

39¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$2.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

-11.5pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 23:25
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 2

    Wide spread — 24.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 3

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

  • 4

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 23:25Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 39¢.

Biggest hourly move: -12.5pp at 3d ago (to 38¢).

Show top 8 of 44 hourly moves
  • 3d ago · -11.5pp → 39¢
  • 3d ago · -12.0pp → 38¢
  • 3d ago · -12.5pp → 38¢
  • 3d ago · -12.5pp → 38¢
  • 3d ago · -12.5pp → 38¢
  • 3d ago · -12.5pp → 38¢
  • 3d ago · -12.5pp → 38¢
  • 3d ago · -12.5pp → 38¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Yi Zhou and Pavel Kotov in the Busan, scheduled for April 13 2026. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Apr 20, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Wide spread (24.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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