Organic-Dew
0x601fc6207b81814f28e77d9a697c501f197576ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$173.61
Total PnL
$16.22
Realised
$7.31
Win rate
34%
107 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Gracie Abrams have a #1 hit in June?
25 shares @ 3.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.88
$10.12
- YES
Will Chainlink reach $18 in June?
607 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.47
$2.99
- YES
Will Senegal be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$5.15
$0.18
- UNDER
Zhou vs. Kotov: Match O/U 22.5
10 shares @ 3.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$5.05
$4.75
- YES
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
12 shares @ 38.6¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.98
$0.23
- NO
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by December 31?
11 shares @ 12.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.93
$3.66
- NO
APYX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.92
$0.07
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
153 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.89
$0.44
- NO
Switzerland to score first vs. Canada?
8 shares @ 44.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$3.73
$0.31
- YES
Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
18 shares @ 13.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$3.63
$1.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Portugal?$0.06Jun 23, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Portugal?$0.18Jun 23, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CZ post 80-99 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$0.00Jun 23, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?$5.61Jun 23, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will finish higher: Verstappen or Hamilton?$0.45Jun 23, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena reach $0.12 in June?$0.65Jun 23, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?$0.18Jun 23, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?$0.73Jun 23, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLQFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.84Jun 23, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena reach $0.12 in June?$0.94Jun 23, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Rangers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.14Jun 23, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Rangers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.12Jun 23, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Fight Night: Julius Walker vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)$3.60Jun 23, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Uruguay 3 - 3 Spain?$0.01Jun 23, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Uruguay 3 - 3 Spain?$0.05Jun 23, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Julius Walker vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)$2.97Jun 23, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLOstium FDV above $700M one day after launch?$0.57Jun 23, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink reach $18 in June?$0.03Jun 23, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?$1.45Jun 23, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Uruguay 3 - 3 Spain?$0.48Jun 23, 19:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
34% win rate over 107 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
107 closed markets, 34% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 18:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 20:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 107 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.