Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)

• 01
  Price move

  Up 8pp over 24h

  Now 25¢; flat in the last hour.

• 02
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Expires in 61h.

• 03
  Liquidity

  Thin liquidity

  Only $2.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

• 04
  Resolution proximity

  Expiry in 61h

  Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

In the upcoming Australia A-League game, scheduled for May 2 at 5:40 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Melbourne Victory FC" if Melbourne Victory FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sydney FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on a-league.com.au. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.