CryptoExpires Apr 26, 2026

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 26?

Probability

100¢

+0.1pp

24h

+0.9pp

24h Vol

$29.0K

Liquidity

$26.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d

Apr 19, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:35

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors

1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 25h with open resolution ambiguity.
2
Expiry in 25h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 25 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 25.4h
HIGH
14:35Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 25h with open resolution ambiguity.
MEDIUM
22:00Price
Probability up 3.0pp
to 99¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability up 4.4pp
to 99¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability up 3.5pp
to 99¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability up 3.8pp
to 99¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability up 4.3pp
to 99¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 9.0pp
to 99¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 8.9pp
to 99¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 8.9pp
to 99¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 11.8pp
to 98¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 12.2pp
to 98¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 13.2pp
to 98¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 11.2pp
to 98¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 13.1pp
to 98¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 10.0pp
to 99¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 9.0pp
to 99¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 9.4pp
to 98¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 11.9pp
to 98¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 13.6pp
to 98¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 14.5pp
to 98¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 12.4pp
to 98¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 12.7pp
to 99¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 13.3pp
to 98¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 11.9pp
to 98¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 10.0pp
to 98¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 12.5pp
to 98¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 16.6pp
to 98¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 19.0pp
to 98¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 18.7pp
to 98¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventBitcoin above ___ on April 26?

Category · Crypto

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk

End date: Apr 26, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Binary

No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket