Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?

1. 1

   Down 49pp over 24h

   Now 0¢; -2.8pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Momentum signal firing

   Probability moved down 49.5pp in 24h with 0.9× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

3. 3

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

4. 4

   Past expiry — awaiting resolution

   Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

5. 5

   UMA status: proposed

   An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.