Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 28?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.3pp
24h Vol
$1.3K
Liquidity
$28.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 71h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Expiry in 71h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 71 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 70.8h
- 17:09SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 71h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 1¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 1¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 1¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 1¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 1¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 1¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 1¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 1¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Binance spot pairExchange priceextracted · highbinance.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.