Esenler Erokspor vs. Bursaspor
Probability
76¢
1h
-2.0pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$3.3K
Liquidity
$6.3K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 9, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 76¢; -2.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 6.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 9, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 167.8h
- 15:10SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.
Price movement
-1.5pp over the last 24h, now 76¢.
Biggest hourly move: +30.0pp at 2d ago (to 80¢).
Show top 8 of 31 hourly moves
- 15:00 · +29.5pp → 78¢
- 09:00 · +29.0pp → 79¢
- 07:00 · +29.5pp → 79¢
- 00:00 · +28.0pp → 78¢
- 23:00 · +28.0pp → 78¢
- 21:00 · +28.0pp → 78¢
- 1d ago · +28.0pp → 78¢
- 2d ago · +30.0pp → 80¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Turkey BSL game, scheduled for May 2 at 11:00AM ET: If the Esenler Erokspor win, the market will resolve to "Esenler Erokspor". If the Bursaspor win, the market will resolve to "Bursaspor". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.