Alvark Tokyo vs. Shiga Lakestars
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+44.0pp
24h Vol
$2.6K
Liquidity
$295.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 44pp over 24h
Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 163h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 162.8h
- 13:16SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 163h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:16PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 49.5pp
to 100¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 49.5pp
to 100¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 48.0pp
to 100¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.0pp
to 95¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.0pp
to 77¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 79¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.5pp
to 79¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 79¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 78¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 78¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 78¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.0pp
to 78¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.0pp
to 78¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 78¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 79¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 79¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 79¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 79¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 62¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 61¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 69¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 68¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 70¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 70¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 69¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 59¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 56¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Japan B League game, scheduled for April 25 at 4:05AM ET: If the Alvark Tokyo win, the market will resolve to "Alvark Tokyo". If the Shiga Lakestars win, the market will resolve to "Shiga Lakestars". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- https://www.bleague.jp/en/
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).