Tense-Fort
0x2f26606ccc45a934838a97d44a30c32012ae0d8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$15.7K
Total PnL
$-93.8K
Realised
$3.9K
Win rate
70%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?
5540 shares @ 65.5¢·now 63.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$3.5K
$-109.98
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
3191 shares @ 56.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.0K
$1.2K
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
1758 shares @ 88.6¢·now 95.2¢·exp Aug 10, 2028$1.7K
$115.15
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
2383 shares @ 64.4¢·now 67.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$1.6K
$62.54
- NO
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
1811 shares @ 63.9¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$391.36
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
2864 shares @ 35.1¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$959.44
$-46.46
- NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?
2246 shares @ 30.4¢·now 39.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$875.92
$193.51
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1699 shares @ 37.6¢·now 37.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$639.67
$1.33
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
2420 shares @ 13.5¢·now 21.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$521.51
$193.63
- YES
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
2143 shares @ 21.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$460.75
$10.33
Recent activity
- REDEEMLiberec: Martin Krumich vs Philip Henning$25.00Jul 28, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angel Reese have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?$1.90Jul 28, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMSamsun: Ergi Kirkin vs Paul Inchauspe$96.00Jul 28, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMSamsun: Max Basing vs Sidharth Rawat$45.00Jul 28, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill AC Goianiense win on 2026-07-27?$20.00Jul 28, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Cúcuta Deportivo FC (-2.5)$0.34Jul 28, 01:25 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.30Jul 28, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$5.55Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angel Reese have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?$1.95Jul 27, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA end in a draw?$3.80Jul 27, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMThe Memphis Classic: Maya Joint vs Whitney Osuigwe$20.00Jul 27, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?$15.12Jul 27, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMCF Pachuca leading at halftime?$64.00Jul 27, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Racing Louisville FC win on 2026-07-26?$665.00Jul 27, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Cúcuta Deportivo FC (-1.5)$31.00Jul 27, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: CD Garcilaso (-2.5)$34.00Jul 27, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: CF Pachuca 1 - 1 Querétaro FC?$76.00Jul 27, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMCF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5$33.00Jul 27, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMCF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: Querétaro FC O/U 1.5$22.00Jul 27, 05:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
70% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $2.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 03:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 13:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.