Gran Canaria vs. Basquet Girona
Probability
66¢
1h
-7.0pp
24h
+1.5pp
24h Vol
$2.7K
Liquidity
$4.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 66¢; -7.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Wide spread — 6.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 166.2h
Price movement
+21.0pp over the last 24h, now 86¢.
Biggest hourly move: +20.0pp at 12:00 (to 71¢).
Show all 25 hour-by-hour ticks
- 19:00 · +19.5pp → 70¢
- 17:00 · +19.5pp → 70¢
- 15:00 · +19.5pp → 70¢
- 14:00 · +20.0pp → 71¢
- 12:00 · +20.0pp → 71¢
- 11:00 · +17.0pp → 68¢
- 09:00 · +16.5pp → 67¢
- 08:00 · +16.5pp → 67¢
- 06:00 · +15.5pp → 66¢
- 05:00 · +17.0pp → 67¢
- 03:00 · +17.0pp → 67¢
- 02:00 · +17.0pp → 67¢
- 00:00 · +16.5pp → 67¢
- 23:00 · +16.5pp → 67¢
- 21:00 · +16.0pp → 66¢
- 20:00 · +14.0pp → 65¢
- 1d ago · +14.0pp → 65¢
- 1d ago · +15.5pp → 66¢
- 1d ago · +14.0pp → 65¢
- 1d ago · +13.0pp → 63¢
- 1d ago · +16.0pp → 66¢
- 1d ago · +17.0pp → 67¢
- 1d ago · +16.0pp → 66¢
- 2d ago · +16.0pp → 66¢
- 2d ago · +16.0pp → 66¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Liga Endesa game, scheduled for April 25 at 2:00PM ET: If the Gran Canaria win, the market will resolve to "Gran Canaria". If the Basquet Girona win, the market will resolve to "Basquet Girona". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- based on the final score including any overtime periodsAmbiguous wordingacb.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.