Valencia vs. Real Madrid
Probability
55¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
+3.0pp
24h Vol
$343.73
Liquidity
$12.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 55¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $12.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 172.4h
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 56¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 56¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 56¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 56¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 55¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 55¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 55¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
6- 55¢-5.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.5M
- 2¢-0.5pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 56¢-2.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.2M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 0¢-35.4pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $1.0M
- 55¢-11.0pp
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $878.8K
Market Description
In the upcoming Liga Endesa game, scheduled for April 25 at 3:00PM ET: If the Valencia win, the market will resolve to "Valencia". If the Real Madrid win, the market will resolve to "Real Madrid". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.acb.com/
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).