Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)
Probability
30¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+18.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$125.81
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 10, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (56.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
-15.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 19pp over 24h
Now 30¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 56.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 10, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (56.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 207.9h
- 05:33SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
Price movement
+18.5pp over the last 24h, now 30¢.
Biggest hourly move: -39.0pp at 1d ago (to 11¢).
Show top 8 of 51 hourly moves
- 21:00 · +32.5pp → 45¢
- 1d ago · -39.0pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · -20.0pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · -20.0pp → 12¢
- 3d ago · -20.0pp → 12¢
- 3d ago · -20.0pp → 12¢
- 4d ago · -31.0pp → 13¢
- 4d ago · -32.0pp → 13¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for May 10 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SC Corinthians Paulista" if SC Corinthians Paulista win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "São Paulo FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on cbf.com.br. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.