Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-04-25?
Probability
29¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.5pp
24h Vol
$21.11
Liquidity
$2.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
-8.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 29¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 7h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $2.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 7h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 7 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 23:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 6.5h
- 16:59SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 7h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:59PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 29¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 28¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 28¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 25¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If Grêmio Novorizontino wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- official statisticsOfficial statisticscbf.com.br
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.