Loading shell…
OtherExpires Apr 25, 2026

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: Both Teams to Score

Probability

50¢

1h

-20.0pp

24h

-6.0pp

24h Vol

$2.2K

Liquidity

$12.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

-4.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:53
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 6pp over 24h

    Now 50¢; -20.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $12.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 14:53Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:30Resolve

    Market resolved 1h ago

    HIGH
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 and FC St. Pauli 1910, scheduled for April 25 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 and FC St. Pauli 1910 each score at least one goal during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).