Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-25?
Probability
35¢
1h
+5.0pp
24h
+3.0pp
24h Vol
$21.0K
Liquidity
$44.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 35¢; +5.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved up 3.0pp in 24h with 0.5× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 14:14SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Momentum up
Probability moved up 3.0pp in 24h with 0.5× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 14:14SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 35¢
- 13:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 1h ago
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 31¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 31¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 31¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
8- 0¢-0.1pp
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $10.8M
- 7¢0.0pp
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $2.0M
- 48¢+11.5pp
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $869.7K
- 10¢-3.0pp
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $761.2K
- 4¢+0.3pp
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Geopolitics · Vol $697.6K
- 2¢-4.0pp
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $697.0K
Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If Borussia Mönchengladbach wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaNews consensus
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- Scary-Edible7.9K
- Imaginary-Gallery1.1K
- Tasty-Chain496
- Poised-Soulmate458
- Assured-Climb361