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OtherExpires Apr 18, 2026

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Probability

41¢

1h

+0.2pp

24h

+0.2pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$17.71

Probability (last 7 days)

-2.2pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:17
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 78.4¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  3. 3

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 13:17Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 8.6pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 6.8pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -10.4pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 6.3pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 7.9pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.4pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.4pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -17.3pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.3pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.8pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -31.3pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -31.3pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -18.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.6pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.9pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.6pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.4pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.2pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.1pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.4pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.6pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.1pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.8pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 39.6pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.9pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Copa del Rey game between Club Atlético de Madrid and Real Sociedad de Fútbol, scheduled for April 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if there are 11 or more total corners awarded in this game (combining corners for both teams). If the total number of corners is fewer than 11, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to corners awarded within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 18, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.rfef.es/News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (78.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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