Plain-Flow
0x409f5d76319a96a05d20ed9715bfa00f725e543a
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
123
Open notional
$236.94
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$396.05
Win rate
100%
37 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 123- YES
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
75000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$112.50
$37.50
- YES
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?
37500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$18.75
$-18.75
- YES
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
37500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$18.75
$-18.75
- YES
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?
37500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$18.75
$-18.75
- YES
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?
37500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$18.75
$-18.75
- YES
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
35202 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.60
$-17.60
- YES
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
33356 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.68
$-16.68
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
7862 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.93
$-3.93
- YES
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
5738 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.87
$-2.87
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?
5498 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.75
$-2.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.00Jun 13, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?$0.01Jun 13, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?$1.00Jun 13, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.00Jun 13, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?$2.48Jun 13, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.02Jun 13, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$4.00Jun 13, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.02Jun 13, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.01Jun 13, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.01Jun 13, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.01Jun 13, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.01Jun 13, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.00Jun 13, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.01Jun 13, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.01Jun 13, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.01Jun 13, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.01Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.02Jun 13, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.02Jun 13, 03:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 14:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 37 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.