Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs G2 Minnesota - Game 3 Winner
Probability
63¢
1h
+8.5pp
24h
+4.0pp
24h Vol
$581.38
Liquidity
$14.5K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 4pp over 24h
Now 63¢; +8.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 7h.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $14.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 7 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 01:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 7.5h
- 18:01SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 7h.
Price movement
+4.0pp over the last 24h, now 63¢.
Biggest hourly move: +20.5pp at 3d ago (to 71¢).
Show top 8 of 50 hourly moves
- 09:00 · +12.5pp → 72¢
- 05:00 · -11.0pp → 59¢
- 01:00 · -12.5pp → 59¢
- 3d ago · +17.0pp → 68¢
- 3d ago · +19.0pp → 70¢
- 3d ago · +16.5pp → 67¢
- 3d ago · +20.5pp → 71¢
- 3d ago · +20.0pp → 71¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Call of Duty match between Miami Heretics and G2 Minnesota in the Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers, initially scheduled for May 3 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Miami Heretics" if Miami Heretics win Game 3 against G2 Minnesota. This market will resolve to "G2 Minnesota" if G2 Minnesota win Game 3 against Miami Heretics. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/callofduty/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/callofduty/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
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