Concrete FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Probability
49¢
1h
-2.0pp
24h
-3.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$45.22
Probability (last 7 days)
+23.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 4pp over 24h
Now 49¢; -2.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 14767h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 81.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14767.0h
- 22:01SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 14767h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-10.0pp over the last 24h, now 49¢.
Biggest hourly move: +40.5pp at 2d ago (to 65¢).
Show top 8 of 33 hourly moves
- 1d ago · +33.5pp → 58¢
- 2d ago · +31.0pp → 57¢
- 2d ago · +34.0pp → 59¢
- 2d ago · +29.5pp → 56¢
- 2d ago · +35.5pp → 59¢
- 2d ago · +29.0pp → 54¢
- 2d ago · +40.5pp → 65¢
- 2d ago · +30.0pp → 56¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Concrete's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Concrete will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Concrete (https://x.com/ConcreteXYZ) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryusing the total token supply multiplied by the token priceLinkTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (81.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.