SportsExpires May 15, 2026Closed
Creator

T20 2nd Innings 6 Overs Line: O/U 80.5

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+65.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$0.00

Historical archiveResolved YES

Orrery restored this market from Polymarket's closed-market records. Treat the numbers below as last-known market context, then verify the resolution source before citing the outcome.

How Orrery handles status →

Research loop

Inspect detail

Read the move, holders, recent trades, source, and resolution risk before saving anything.

Canonical status

confidence: medium

Source status (Polymarket)

active · closed · uma=resolved

Derived status (Orrery)

RESOLVED YES

Reason

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.

The derived status is computed from the source flags plus the live YES price, so a market trading near a rail can read as PRICE-PINNED while upstream is still active. That isn't the same as resolved.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 15, 2026
UMA status
resolved
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
No price history available
updated 10:23:06 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-07-14T10-23Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 65pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Verification Brief

A guided checklist for what must be proven before this market is treated as reliable context.

officially resolved
Trust transition

The market appears resolved. The useful check is whether the source and final oracle state match the displayed outcome.

Create trust-state alert

Verification goal

Map resolution-relevant sources to the exact criteria needed to avoid misreading price as settlement.

What needs proof

Primary source

required

Confirm the primary official statistics and whether it directly answers the market's resolution question.

Current evidence: official statistics

Contract wording

required

Extract the exact condition that makes YES resolve true and note any exclusions, time zone, deadline, or fallback rule.

Telegram verification task

Orrery verification task T20 2nd Innings 6 Overs Line: O/U 80.5 State: Resolved YES — officially resolved Need sources for: 1. Primary source: Confirm the primary official statistics and whether it directly answers the market's resolution question. 2. Contract wording: Extract the exact condition that makes YES resolve true and note any exclusions, time zone, deadline, or fallback rule. 3. Liquidity context: Check whether the move is supported by enough liquidity and volume to treat it as meaningful context. Drop only durable links that map to one criterion. Research only. Not trade advice.

X verification thread

Orrery verification brief T20 2nd Innings 6 Overs Line: O/U 80.5 State: officially resolved Verify: Primary source + Contract wording Price is not settlement. Research only. Not trade advice.

Market link goes in reply

Guided source review

A controlled loop for durable sources. Every source must answer one criterion from this Verification Brief.

Sources

0

Criteria covered

0

Reviewed

0

Awaiting review

0

Submit a source mapped to a criterion

Confirm the primary official statistics and whether it directly answers the market's resolution question.

Research only · no price-only screenshots · no profit claims

Recent source checks

Pilot audit summary

Research only · Not trade advice · Every source maps to one criterion

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow
No timeline events available yet. The timeline fills in as trades land, signals fire, or the price moves more than 3pp in an hour.
updated 10:23:06 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 10:23:06 UTC·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming cricket match between Lucknow Super Giants and Chennai Super Kings, scheduled for May 15, 2026 in Indian Premier League, this market will resolve to "O 80.5" if the 2nd innings batting side scores more than 80.5 runs in 6 overs. If the 2nd innings batting side scores fewer than 80.5 runs in 6 overs, this market will resolve to "U 80.5". The result will be determined based on the official total scored by the 2nd innings batting side at the conclusion of their innings, or at the completion of 6 overs, whichever occurs first. This total includes all runs scored off the bat, extras, and any penalty runs awarded during the relevant period of play. Any penalty runs awarded after the completion of the innings or after the completion of the stipulated 6 overs will not count toward settlement. If the 2nd innings batting side reaches its target before completing 6 overs, and the scheduled number of overs has not been reduced below 6, the market will resolve based on the official total at the time the winning run is scored. If the 2nd innings batting side is bowled out before completing 6 overs, and the scheduled number of overs has not been reduced below 6, the market will resolve based on the final official score recorded. If the scheduled number of overs for the innings is reduced below 6 for any reason and fewer than 6 overs are bowled, this market will resolve 50-50. DLS (Duckworth–Lewis–Stern), DRS decisions, over-rate penalties, forfeits, walkovers, or any other on-field rulings that result in an official completed innings total will be treated as ordinary outcomes for the purpose of determining the final score used for settlement. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, this market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned before the 2nd innings is completed and no official total is recorded, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Why this category?

confidence: high

Category

Sports

Source

Manual override (pattern match)

Matched term

premier league

Reason

EPL — Sports.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.

FAQ — questions readers actually ask

What is the current Polymarket probability for "T20 2nd Innings 6 Overs Line: O/U 80.5"?

As of Tue, 14 Jul 2026 10:23:06 GMT, YES is priced at 100% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +65.5pp in the last 24 hours, +0.0pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by May 15, 2026 (2026-05-15T14:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://www.espncricinfo.com/.

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.

How much is being traded on this market?

$0.00 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $105.00. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $0.00. Spread between best bid and best ask: 0.1¢.

Is this a trade recommendation?

No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.

How fresh is this data and where does it come from?

This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email digests are wired to a server-side cron and continue while your tabs are closed. Telegram and Discord are planned — every existing rule will keep working as channels light up.

Top Holders

1 wallets
YES

None.