SportsExpires May 3, 2026

Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Who wins the toss?

Probability

71¢

1h

+14.0pp

24h

+19.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$26.37

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:04
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 19pp over 24h

    Now 71¢; +14.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 184h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 42.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 183.9h

    LOW
  • 18:04Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 184h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+19.0pp over the last 24h, now 71¢.

Biggest hourly move: +21.0pp at 06:00 (to 71¢).

Show all 14 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:04 · +21.0pp → 71¢
  • 17:00 · +7.0pp → 57¢
  • 16:00 · +21.0pp → 71¢
  • 15:00 · +18.5pp → 69¢
  • 13:00 · +21.0pp → 71¢
  • 12:00 · +21.0pp → 71¢
  • 10:00 · +21.0pp → 71¢
  • 08:00 · +5.0pp → 55¢
  • 06:00 · +21.0pp → 71¢
  • 05:00 · +10.0pp → 60¢
  • 03:00 · +8.0pp → 58¢
  • 02:00 · +12.0pp → 62¢
  • 00:00 · +13.0pp → 63¢
  • 22:00 · +6.0pp → 56¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the pre-match coin toss for the cricket match between Lucknow Super Giants and Kolkata Knight Riders scheduled for 2026-04-26 in Indian Premier League. This market resolves according to the official coin toss result (the team recorded as having won the toss) as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. If an official toss winner is recorded, the market will resolve based on that result even if the match is subsequently delayed, relocated, abandoned, or no ball is bowled. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open and resolve according to the toss result for the listed fixture when it is eventually played. If the fixture is permanently canceled, forfeited before any toss is conducted, or otherwise completed without an official toss winner being recorded, the market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
espncricinfo.comOfficial sports result
espncricinfo.com
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (42.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.