SportsExpires May 6, 2026

Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad - Who wins the toss?

Probability

51¢

1h

+0.5pp

24h

+0.5pp

24h Vol

$548.84

Liquidity

$2.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 17:00Apr 29, 2026, 06:12
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  • 01
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $2.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 171.8h

    LOW

Price movement

+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.

Biggest hourly move: -3.0pp at 1d ago (to 50¢).

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the pre-match coin toss for the cricket match between Mumbai Indians and Sunrisers Hyderabad scheduled for 2026-04-29 in Indian Premier League. This market resolves according to the official coin toss result (the team recorded as having won the toss) as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. If an official toss winner is recorded, the market will resolve based on that result even if the match is subsequently delayed, relocated, abandoned, or no ball is bowled. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open and resolve according to the toss result for the listed fixture when it is eventually played. If the fixture is permanently canceled, forfeited before any toss is conducted, or otherwise completed without an official toss winner being recorded, the market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 6, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
espncricinfo.com
Type
Official sports result
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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