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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Mar 20, 2026

T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Toss Match Double Draw

Probability

54¢

1h

+0.1pp

24h

+2.4pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$2.21

Probability (last 7 days)

+3.9pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:02
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 2pp over 24h

    Now 54¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 92.5¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 16:02Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Afghanistan and Sri Lanka scheduled for 2026-03-13 in T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Afghanistan will be considered correct if Afghanistan is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Sri Lanka will be considered correct if Sri Lanka is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to Neither. DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to Neither. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to Neither. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Mar 20, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
(1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://wwwAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (92.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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