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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Mar 24, 2026

T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Afghanistan Winner

Probability

54¢

1h

+0.2pp

24h

+4.0pp

24h Vol

$19.16

Liquidity

$4.25

Probability (last 7 days)

+3.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:54
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 4pp over 24h

    Now 54¢; +0.2pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 91.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 13:54Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 3.8pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 3.6pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 3.6pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 3.3pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 3.3pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 3.3pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 3.7pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 3.2pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 3.3pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 3.2pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Price

    Probability up 3.2pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 3.6pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Afghanistan and Sri Lanka scheduled for 2026-03-17 in T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Afghanistan will be considered correct if Afghanistan is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Sri Lanka.The outcome corresponding to Sri Lanka will be considered correct if Sri Lanka is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Afghanistan. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw". The market will resolve according to the team that hits the greater number of sixes in the match regardless of if the match is not competed (e.g. Due to weather conditions)/ Only sixes scored from the bat (off any delivery- legal or not) will count towards the total sixes. Overthrows and extras do not count. Sixes scored in a super over do not count. In First Class games, only first innings sixes will count. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without official sixes statistics being recorded, the market will resolve "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and official statistics are available.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Mar 24, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
the finalized match statistics as published by https://wwwAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (91.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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