OtherExpires Mar 29, 2026

ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Who wins the toss?

Probability

40¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$2.85

Probability (last 7 days)

-12.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:34
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 41.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  3. 3

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 17:34Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 40¢.

Biggest hourly move: -27.5pp at 3d ago (to 32¢).

Show all 28 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 17:34 · +8.0pp → 40¢
  • 09:00 · +8.0pp → 39¢
  • 08:00 · +8.5pp → 40¢
  • 06:00 · +8.5pp → 40¢
  • 03:00 · +8.5pp → 40¢
  • 02:00 · +8.5pp → 40¢
  • 21:00 · +8.5pp → 40¢
  • 20:00 · -8.5pp → 31¢
  • 1d ago · -8.0pp → 32¢
  • 1d ago · +9.0pp → 40¢
  • 2d ago · -8.0pp → 32¢
  • 2d ago · +9.0pp → 40¢
  • 2d ago · +6.5pp → 40¢
  • 2d ago · +7.5pp → 40¢
  • 2d ago · +7.5pp → 40¢
  • 2d ago · +7.5pp → 40¢
  • 2d ago · -27.5pp → 32¢
  • 2d ago · -19.5pp → 40¢
  • 2d ago · -19.5pp → 40¢
  • 2d ago · -27.5pp → 32¢
  • 2d ago · -19.5pp → 40¢
  • 2d ago · -19.5pp → 40¢
  • 2d ago · -27.0pp → 32¢
  • 2d ago · -19.5pp → 40¢
  • 3d ago · -27.5pp → 32¢
  • 3d ago · -19.5pp → 40¢
  • 3d ago · -19.5pp → 40¢
  • 3d ago · -12.5pp → 40¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the pre-match coin toss for the cricket match between Afghanistan and Sri Lanka scheduled for 2026-03-21 in ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka. This market resolves according to the official coin toss result (the team recorded as having won the toss) as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. If an official toss winner is recorded, the market will resolve based on that result even if the match is subsequently delayed, relocated, abandoned, or no ball is bowled. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open and resolve according to the toss result for the listed fixture when it is eventually played. If the fixture is permanently canceled, forfeited before any toss is conducted, or otherwise completed without an official toss winner being recorded, the market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Mar 29, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
espncricinfo.comOfficial sports result
espncricinfo.com
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (41.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.