UnclassifiedExpires May 9, 2026
Creator

T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand

Probability

44¢

1h

-3.5pp

24h

-15.5pp

24h Vol

$38.9K

Liquidity

$16.4K

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 9, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 22:00May 2, 2026, 09:45
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 16pp over 24h

    Now 44¢; -3.5pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 2.4× turnover

    $38.9k traded against $16.4k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $16.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability recovers above 49¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 166.2h

    LOW

Price movement

-15.5pp over the last 24h, now 44¢.

Biggest hourly move: -15.5pp at 1d ago (to 60¢).

Show top 8 of 30 hourly moves
  • 09:45 · -14.5pp → 44¢
  • 1d ago · -15.5pp → 60¢
  • 2d ago · -14.0pp → 58¢
  • 2d ago · -13.5pp → 59¢
  • 2d ago · -14.0pp → 58¢
  • 2d ago · -14.0pp → 58¢
  • 2d ago · -14.0pp → 58¢
  • 2d ago · -14.0pp → 58¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the cricket match between Bangladesh and New Zealand scheduled for May 2 2026 in T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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