SportsExpires Apr 28, 2026

Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs ReThink (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+24.9pp

24h Vol

$4.0K

Liquidity

$20.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 08:00Apr 28, 2026, 18:19
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 25pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 0h. UMA dispute is active.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $20.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 0h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

  • 05
    UMA status

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 0 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 18:45Resolve

    Market resolves in 0.4h

    HIGH
  • 18:19Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 0h. UMA dispute is active.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+24.9pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between BIG Academy and ReThink in the European Pro League Regular Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 28 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "BIG Academy" if BIG Academy win the match against ReThink. This market will resolve to "ReThink" if ReThink win the match against BIG Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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