Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs shimmer (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Group A
Probability
89¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$17.2K
Liquidity
$6.5K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Volume pressure
Heavy volume on this book — 2.6× turnover
$17.2k traded against $6.5k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6h.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $6.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 6 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 03:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 5.8h
- 21:41SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 6h.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 89¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between FarmVille and shimmer in the Thunderpick World Championship North American Group A, initially scheduled for April 30 at 5:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "FarmVille" if FarmVille win the match against shimmer. This market will resolve to "shimmer" if shimmer win the match against FarmVille. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Alerts
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