Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs shimmer - Map 2 Winner
Probability
100¢
1h
+58.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$2.2K
Liquidity
$23.8K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $23.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 1 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 01:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 1.3h
- 00:09SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between FarmVille and shimmer in the Thunderpick World Championship North American Group A, initially scheduled for April 30 at 5:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "FarmVille" if FarmVille win Map 2 against shimmer. This market will resolve to "shimmer" if shimmer win Map 2 against FarmVille. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
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