SportsExpires Apr 27, 2026

Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados - Map 2 Winner

Probability

56¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+9.0pp

24h Vol

$38.64

Liquidity

$118.84

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 21:00Apr 26, 2026, 19:38
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 1

    Up 9pp over 24h

    Now 56¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Wide spread — 73.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 4

    Expiry in 5h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 5 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 01:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 5.4h

    HIGH
  • 19:38Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 5h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+9.0pp over the last 24h, now 56¢.

Biggest hourly move: +23.5pp at 16:00 (to 72¢).

Show top 8 of 12 hourly moves
  • 19:38 · +7.0pp → 56¢
  • 18:00 · +7.5pp → 56¢
  • 17:00 · +7.5pp → 56¢
  • 16:00 · +23.5pp → 72¢
  • 14:00 · +4.5pp → 53¢
  • 12:00 · +7.5pp → 53¢
  • 10:00 · +4.5pp → 53¢
  • 1d ago · -5.5pp → 43¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between Fake do Biru and largadosypelados in the ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 26 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fake do Biru" if Fake do Biru win Map 2 against largadosypelados. This market will resolve to "largadosypelados" if largadosypelados win Map 2 against Fake do Biru. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 27, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (73.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.