Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 Winner
Probability
100¢
1h
+22.4pp
24h
+43.0pp
24h Vol
$7.3K
Liquidity
$87.7K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 01Price move
Up 43pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +22.4pp in the last hour.
- 02Volume pressure
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $7.3k traded against $87.7k of visible liquidity (0.08× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 03Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved up 43.0pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 04Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.
- 05Resolution proximity
Expiry in 2h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 01:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 2.1h
- 22:55SignalHIGH
Momentum up
Probability moved up 43.0pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 22:55SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.
Price movement
+43.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Imperial and Fake do Biru in the ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 29 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Imperial" if Imperial win Map 1 against Fake do Biru. This market will resolve to "Fake do Biru" if Fake do Biru win Map 1 against Imperial. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.