SportsExpires Apr 30, 2026

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 Winner

Probability

100¢

1h

+22.4pp

24h

+43.0pp

24h Vol

$7.3K

Liquidity

$87.7K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 28, 2026, 19:00Apr 29, 2026, 22:00
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 43pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; +22.4pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $7.3k traded against $87.7k of visible liquidity (0.08× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved up 43.0pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  • 04
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.

  • 05
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 2h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 01:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 2.1h

    HIGH
  • 22:55Signal

    Momentum up

    Probability moved up 43.0pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 22:55Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+43.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Imperial and Fake do Biru in the ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 29 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Imperial" if Imperial win Map 1 against Fake do Biru. This market will resolve to "Fake do Biru" if Fake do Biru win Map 1 against Imperial. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
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