SportsExpires May 3, 2026
Creator

Counter-Strike: Keyd vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 Winner

Probability

59¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+9.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$517.07

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (8.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 14:00May 2, 2026, 16:56
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 9pp over 24h

    Now 59¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 11h. Spread is extremely wide.

  • 03
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 8.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 11 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 03:30Resolve

    Market resolves in 10.6h

    HIGH
  • 16:56Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 11h. Spread is extremely wide.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+9.0pp over the last 24h, now 59¢.

Biggest hourly move: -10.0pp at 1d ago (to 50¢).

Show top 8 of 23 hourly moves
  • 16:56 · +9.0pp → 59¢
  • 15:00 · +9.5pp → 60¢
  • 14:00 · +9.5pp → 60¢
  • 12:00 · +9.5pp → 60¢
  • 11:00 · +8.0pp → 58¢
  • 1d ago · -10.0pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · -8.0pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · -9.0pp → 50¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Keyd and MIBR Academy in the Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 2 at 5:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Keyd" if Keyd win Map 1 against MIBR Academy. This market will resolve to "MIBR Academy" if MIBR Academy win Map 1 against Keyd. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.