Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
Probability
66¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
+16.4pp
24h Vol
$2.0K
Liquidity
$277.79
Canonical status
confidence: highSource status (Polymarket)
Derived status (Orrery)
Reason
Upstream UMA resolution status is 'disputed'.
Resolution is contested. Do not treat the current price as final until UMA settles.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 6, 2026
- UMA status
- disputed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: disputed
- Market expires May 6, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (62.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 16pp over 24h
Now 66¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk observation firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 62.5¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable advantage. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: disputed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 6, 2026
- UMA status
- disputed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: disputed
- Market expires May 6, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (62.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 02:55SignalHIGH
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 19:45ResolveHIGH
Expiry passed 7h ago; UMA dispute open
Price movement
+16.4pp over the last 24h, now 66¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number. This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an even number. "Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd). If Map 1 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Why this category?
confidence: mediumCategory
Source
Matched term
SportsReason
No rule fired; using Polymarket's own category hint "Sports".
Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.
FAQ — questions readers actually ask
What is the current Polymarket probability for "Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?"?
As of Thu, 07 May 2026 02:55:20 GMT, YES is priced at 66% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +16.4pp in the last 24 hours, +0.1pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves by May 6, 2026 (2026-05-06T19:45:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://hltv.org.
What source determines the outcome?
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.
How much is being traded on this market?
$2.0K of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $2.0K. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $277.79. Spread between best bid and best ask: 62.5¢.
Is this a trade recommendation?
No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.
How fresh is this data and where does it come from?
This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
