Flickering-Cousin
0x1643038efde95846b92b008e2efedca553296ec8
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$87.13
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$-945.61
Win rate
22%
68 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
58 shares @ 73.4¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$45.24
$2.64
- YES
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
30 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 16, 2026$29.23
$1.75
- NO
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
53 shares @ 30.6¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$11.69
$-4.56
- NO
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.97
$-2.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
473 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-7.89
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
436 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.21
- YES
Will Tokushima Vortis vs. Zweigen Kanazawa end in a draw?
330 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-86.90
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
316 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.16
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
232 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.32
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
232 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.32
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?$10.00Jun 13, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?$20.00Jun 13, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$29.12Jun 9, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 27-29 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$5.00Jun 6, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Popular (PP) win 59-61 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$5.00Jun 6, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill VOX (VOX) win 16-18 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$6.22Jun 6, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Popular (PP) win 56-58 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$7.39Jun 6, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 24-26 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$10.00Jun 6, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill VOX (VOX) win 13-15 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$10.12Jun 6, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Popular (PP) win 50-52 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$11.51Jun 6, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$5.00Jun 5, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$5.00Jun 5, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$20.00Jun 4, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mona Juul be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$20.00Jun 4, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$21.00Jun 4, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMFC Nantes leading at halftime?$5.00Jun 4, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be greater than $170M at market close on IPO day?$4.99Jun 1, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $140M and $155M at market close on IPO day?$4.99Jun 1, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $125M and $140M at market close on IPO day?$5.00Jun 1, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $155M and $170M at market close on IPO day?$4.99Jun 1, 11:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 10:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 68 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.