Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner
Probability
100¢
1h
+45.5pp
24h
+50.0pp
24h Vol
$12.3K
Liquidity
$136.4K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Price move
Up 50pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +45.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Volume pressure
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $12.3k traded against $136.4k of visible liquidity (0.09× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 03Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved up 50.0pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 04Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4h. UMA dispute is active.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 4 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 15:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 3.9h
- 11:06SignalHIGH
Momentum up
Probability moved up 50.0pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 11:06SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 4h. UMA dispute is active.
Price movement
+50.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Gentle Mates and FOKUS in the Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 2 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win Map 2 against FOKUS. This market will resolve to "FOKUS" if FOKUS win Map 2 against Gentle Mates. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
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