Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winner

• 01
  Price move

  Down 50pp over 24h

  Now 0¢; -15.4pp in the last hour.

• 02
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.

• 03
  Liquidity

  Thin liquidity

  Only $20.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

• 04
  Resolution proximity

  Expiry in 2h

  Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

• 05
  UMA status

  UMA status: proposed

  An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between MANA eSports and ASTRAL in the CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group C, initially scheduled for April 30 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MANA eSports" if MANA eSports win Map 1 against ASTRAL. This market will resolve to "ASTRAL" if ASTRAL win Map 1 against MANA eSports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.