Naive-Waterwheel
0x10b289276b2b69cac7b1bbc58601009b6ee74ceb
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$9.6K
Total PnL
$314.29
Realised
$280.97
Win rate
51%
97 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
771 shares @ 13.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$293.03
$193.04
- NO
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
439 shares @ 22.8¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$281.25
$181.26
- YES
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
485 shares @ 20.6¢·now 57.6¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$279.35
$179.36
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
619 shares @ 28.5¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$275.53
$98.89
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
652 shares @ 23.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$241.31
$91.31
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
526 shares @ 19.0¢·now 39.4¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$206.97
$106.97
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
332 shares @ 30.1¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$197.77
$97.78
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
248 shares @ 23.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$194.58
$137.57
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1571 shares @ 6.4¢·now 12.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$194.03
$94.05
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
254 shares @ 39.3¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$164.04
$64.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5$89.03Jun 14, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5$12.68Jun 14, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.45Jun 14, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$1.33Jun 14, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5$1.43Jun 14, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5$1.43Jun 14, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5$9.29Jun 14, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5$9.45Jun 14, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$6.89Jun 14, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5$20.41Jun 14, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5$24.07Jun 14, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$8.11Jun 14, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.44Jun 14, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?$26.46Jun 14, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5$1.23Jun 14, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.12Jun 14, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5$6.22Jun 14, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5$28.57Jun 14, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$10.86Jun 14, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$1.22Jun 14, 17:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $9.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 16:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 18:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 97 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.