SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+47.4pp

24h Vol

$6.9K

Liquidity

$49.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 23, 2026, 11:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:50
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  1. 1

    Up 47pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $6.9k traded against $49.8k of visible liquidity (0.14× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  3. 3

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 3h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

  5. 5

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 3 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 21:40Resolve

    Market resolves in 2.8h

    HIGH
  • 18:50Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+46.5pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between Nemiga and ex-RUBY in the NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nemiga" if Nemiga win Map 2 against ex-RUBY. This market will resolve to "ex-RUBY" if ex-RUBY win Map 2 against Nemiga. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensus
hltv.org
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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