Counter-Strike: Team Aether vs shimmer - Map 2 Winner
Probability
73¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 29h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 43.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 3
Expiry in 29h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 29 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 28.8h
- 22:41SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 29h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 73¢.
Biggest hourly move: +22.0pp at 20:00 (to 73¢).
Show 3 hourly moves
- 22:41 · +22.0pp → 73¢
- 21:00 · +21.5pp → 72¢
- 20:00 · +22.0pp → 73¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Team Aether and shimmer in the Thunderpick World Championship North American Group A, initially scheduled for April 26 at 8:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Aether" if Team Aether win Map 2 against shimmer. This market will resolve to "shimmer" if shimmer win Map 2 against Team Aether. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (43.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.