DoorDash total orders above 1B in Q1?
Probability
5¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$53.78
Probability (last 7 days)
-8.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 5¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 246h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $54 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 246.3h
- 17:41SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 246h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-1.5pp over the last 24h, now 5¢.
Biggest hourly move: -34.5pp at 2d ago (to 6¢).
Show all 33 hour-by-hour ticks
- 17:00 · -31.5pp → 5¢
- 15:00 · -31.5pp → 5¢
- 14:00 · -31.5pp → 5¢
- 12:00 · -31.5pp → 5¢
- 11:00 · -26.0pp → 5¢
- 09:00 · -30.0pp → 5¢
- 08:00 · -19.5pp → 5¢
- 06:00 · -28.0pp → 7¢
- 05:00 · -28.5pp → 7¢
- 03:00 · -28.0pp → 7¢
- 02:00 · -26.0pp → 7¢
- 00:00 · -28.0pp → 7¢
- 23:00 · -27.0pp → 7¢
- 21:00 · -15.0pp → 19¢
- 20:00 · -28.0pp → 6¢
- 18:00 · -28.0pp → 6¢
- 1d ago · -27.5pp → 6¢
- 1d ago · -28.5pp → 6¢
- 1d ago · -28.0pp → 6¢
- 1d ago · -27.5pp → 6¢
- 1d ago · -27.5pp → 6¢
- 1d ago · -32.5pp → 6¢
- 1d ago · -28.0pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -34.5pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · -33.5pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -27.0pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -5.0pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · +10.5pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -7.5pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · +21.5pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · -7.5pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · +8.0pp → 21¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if DoorDash’s total number of orders (typically labeled “total orders”) for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is DoorDash’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materialsAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.