First Blood in Game 2?
Probability
3¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$24.27
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Wide spread — 5.4¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 2
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowPrice movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 3¢.
Biggest hourly move: -47.0pp at 03:00 (to 3¢).
Show top 8 of 25 hourly moves
- 22:00 · -40.1pp → 3¢
- 21:00 · -40.1pp → 3¢
- 20:00 · -40.1pp → 3¢
- 19:00 · -40.1pp → 3¢
- 17:00 · -40.1pp → 3¢
- 03:00 · -47.0pp → 3¢
- 00:00 · -44.0pp → 3¢
- 1d ago · -42.3pp → 3¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Round 5 match between GamerLegion and Heroic in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 22 at 3:00AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 2. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 2 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 22, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.