SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Spread: Thunder (-9.5)

Probability

40¢

1h

-7.0pp

24h

-8.0pp

24h Vol

$1.2M

Liquidity

$40.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 23, 2026, 06:00Apr 25, 2026, 20:34
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  1. 1

    Down 8pp over 24h

    Now 40¢; -7.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Heavy volume on this book — 29.9× turnover

    $1.2M traded against $40.2k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  3. 3

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved down 8.0pp in 24h with 29.9× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  4. 4

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  5. 5

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 20:35Signal

    Momentum down

    Probability moved down 8.0pp in 24h with 29.9× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 20:35Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 19:30Resolve

    Market resolved 1h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

-6.5pp over the last 24h, now 41¢.

Biggest hourly move: -14.5pp at 20:00 (to 37¢).

Show all 2 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 20:00 · -14.5pp → 37¢
  • 18:00 · -5.0pp → 47¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 25 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Suns". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Suns". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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