Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
Probability
40¢
1h
-7.0pp
24h
-8.0pp
24h Vol
$1.2M
Liquidity
$40.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Down 8pp over 24h
Now 40¢; -7.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Heavy volume on this book — 29.9× turnover
$1.2M traded against $40.2k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 3
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved down 8.0pp in 24h with 29.9× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 4
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 5
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 20:35SignalHIGH
Momentum down
Probability moved down 8.0pp in 24h with 29.9× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 20:35SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 19:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 1h ago
Price movement
-6.5pp over the last 24h, now 41¢.
Biggest hourly move: -14.5pp at 20:00 (to 37¢).
Show all 2 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · -14.5pp → 37¢
- 18:00 · -5.0pp → 47¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 25 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Suns". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Suns". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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