SportsExpires Apr 29, 2026

Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)

Probability

41¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-4.5pp

24h Vol

$129.00

Liquidity

$2.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 17:00Apr 29, 2026, 11:48
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 5pp over 24h

    Now 41¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 10h.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $2.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 10h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 10 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 22:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 10.2h

    HIGH
  • 11:48Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 10h.

    LOW

Price movement

-4.5pp over the last 24h, now 41¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket final match between Nigma Galaxy and 1win in the DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 29 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy wins 2 or more games than 1win in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "1win". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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