SportsExpires Apr 29, 2026

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 2 Winner

Probability

66¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-4.0pp

24h Vol

$14.29

Liquidity

$2.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 17:00Apr 29, 2026, 11:44
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 4pp over 24h

    Now 66¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 8h.

  • 03
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 5.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 8h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 8 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 20:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 8.3h

    HIGH
  • 11:44Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 8h.

    LOW

Price movement

-4.0pp over the last 24h, now 66¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket final match between Nigma Galaxy and 1win in the DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 29 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win Game 2 against 1win. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win Game 2 against Nigma Galaxy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

2 wallets