SportsExpires May 2, 2026
Creator

Game Handicap: SAR (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-54.4pp

24h Vol

$1.9K

Liquidity

$6.3K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 2, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 29, 2026, 14:00May 3, 2026, 03:34
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 54pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $6.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 03:34Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 21:15Resolve

    Market resolved 6h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

-54.4pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: -50.0pp at 18:00 (to 0¢).

Show top 8 of 13 hourly moves
  • 03:34 · -50.0pp → 0¢
  • 02:00 · -50.0pp → 0¢
  • 01:00 · -50.0pp → 0¢
  • 23:00 · -50.0pp → 0¢
  • 21:00 · -50.0pp → 0¢
  • 19:00 · -50.0pp → 0¢
  • 18:00 · -50.0pp → 0¢
  • 17:00 · -49.5pp → 1¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Yellow Submarine and South America Rejects in the 1win Essence Group A, initially scheduled for May 2 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "South America Rejects" if South America Rejects wins 2 or more games than Yellow Submarine in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.