0x447180022f36532d016251ae5dbba809ba853f7b
0x447180022f36532d016251ae5dbba809ba853f7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$997.21
Total PnL
$-392.76
Realised
$-99.91
Win rate
39%
129 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
121 shares @ 80.5¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$99.57
$2.39
- YES
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?
75 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$75.17
$25.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
58 shares @ 72.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$58.43
$16.31
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
47 shares @ 72.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$43.37
$9.61
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
35 shares @ 45.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$35.20
$19.29
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
32 shares @ 61.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$32.17
$12.29
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
47 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$27.51
$-0.24
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
46 shares @ 56.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$26.91
$1.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
26 shares @ 62.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$25.69
$9.56
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
24 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$23.84
$4.77
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 8?$0.00Jun 13, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?$0.00Jun 13, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$5.00Jun 13, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-08?$0.00Jun 13, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 2?$0.00Jun 13, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$0.00Jun 13, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?$0.00Jun 13, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 18?$0.00Jun 13, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?$0.00Jun 13, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olimpija Ljubljana win on 2026-05-17?$0.00Jun 13, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VII?$0.00Jun 13, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 18?$0.00Jun 13, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?$0.00Jun 13, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 18?$0.00Jun 13, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$13.05Jun 13, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 8?$0.00Jun 13, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?$0.00Jun 13, 20:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $7.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 20:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 20:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 129 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.