Spread: Stoke City FC (-2.5)
Probability
27¢
1h
+6.0pp
24h
+23.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$8.2K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (53.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
-5.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 24pp over 24h
Now 27¢; +6.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 53.9¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (53.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 12:54SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 11:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 1h ago
Price movement
+23.5pp over the last 24h, now 27¢.
Biggest hourly move: -46.5pp at 2d ago (to 4¢).
Show top 8 of 48 hourly moves
- 12:54 · +19.1pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · -46.5pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · -8.5pp → 4¢
- 4d ago · +40.5pp → 51¢
- 4d ago · -20.5pp → 13¢
- 4d ago · -20.5pp → 13¢
- 4d ago · -20.5pp → 13¢
- 5d ago · -20.5pp → 13¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
14- 28¢+1.0
Spread: Bristol City FC (-1.5)
Other · Vol $1.7K
- 3¢-8.3
Spread: Stoke City FC (-1.5)
Other · Vol $2.04
- 5¢-6.5
Spread: Bristol City FC (-2.5)
Other · Vol $41.42
- 67¢-15.0
Bristol City FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5
Other · Vol $1.2K
- 29¢-30.5
Bristol City FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $2.6K
- 12¢-25.5
Bristol City FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5
Other · Vol $1.8K
- 3¢-17.4
Bristol City FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 4.5
Other · Vol $742.90
- 41¢-20.0
Bristol City FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score
Other · Vol $850.35
- 99¢+2.7
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 75¢+17.0
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?
Other · Vol $1.2M
- 52¢+1.0
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?
Other · Vol $670.7K
- 100¢+19.3
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $408.2K
- 100¢-0.1
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Other · Vol $228.7K
- 8¢0.0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Other · Vol $181.4K
Market Description
In the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for May 2 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Stoke City FC" if Stoke City FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bristol City FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on efl.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.