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OtherExpires Apr 25, 2026

Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)

Probability

37¢

1h

-5.5pp

24h

-7.0pp

24h Vol

$23.2K

Liquidity

$65.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

-8.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 11:32
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 14:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 2.5h

    HIGH
  • 11:32Signal

    Signal · Momentum down

    Probability moved down 7.0pp in 24h with 0.4× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    MEDIUM
  • 11:32Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 11:32Price

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for April 25 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Middlesbrough FC" if Middlesbrough FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Watford FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on efl.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.efl.com/News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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